Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 February 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 February 2026. Paris Saint Germain vs Metz (Paris Saint Germain or draw) sits top on 96% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Thai League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
96%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
94%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
94%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
92%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
92%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani or draw
91%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
90%
League Two · England
Bromley or draw
89%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
88%
League Two · England
Accrington ST or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
88%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
87%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia or draw
87%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
87%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
87%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw
86%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough or draw
85%
Premier League · England
Chelsea or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 February 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris Saint Germain vs Metz (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.