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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 24 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 May 2025. CSKA Moscow vs Nizhny Novgorod (CSKA Moscow or draw) sits top on 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 88%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 87%
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 86%
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia Rubin or draw 86%
Rubin
4 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 86%
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 85%
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 84%
Ilves
0 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 69%
Draw 15%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 72%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 83%
Bologna
1 : 3 FT
Genoa
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 83%
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 2 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 83%
FC Basel 1893
4 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 83%
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 82%
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vizela or draw 81%
AVS
3 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Leganes or draw 81%
Leganes
3 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 80%
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Charleroi or draw 80%
Charleroi
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 79%
FC Krasnodar
3 : 0 FT
Dynamo
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Gnistan or draw 79%
FF Jaro
1 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 21%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by CSKA Moscow vs Nizhny Novgorod (CSKA Moscow or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.