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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 22 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Thursday 22 May 2025. Kalmar FF vs Umeå FC (Kalmar FF or draw) led the list at 88% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 88%
Kalmar FF
2 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 85%
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 81%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Winterthur or draw 80%
FC Winterthur
2 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Raed or draw 78%
Al Okhdood
1 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 22%
Draw 19%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Oddevold or draw 77%
Helsingborg
0 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece Kallithea or draw 76%
Kallithea
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 75%
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 22 May 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Kalmar FF vs Umeå FC (Kalmar FF or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.