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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 13 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 13 April 2025. FK Jablonec vs Pardubice (FK Jablonec or draw) sits top on 93% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 93%
FK Jablonec
1 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 91%
Cambuur
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 90%
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 89%
Fiorentina
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Fiorentina Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 87%
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 56%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 87%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 86%
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 85%
Slovácko
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 85%
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Liège or draw 85%
Liège
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 84%
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 84%
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Mirassol
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 83%
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 83%
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 83%
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 81%
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 80%
Le Havre
1 : 5 FT
Rennes
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 80%
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 20%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 80%
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FK Jablonec vs Pardubice (FK Jablonec or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.