Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 12 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 April 2025. Al Ain vs Al Urooba (Al Ain or draw) led the list at 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 94%
Al Ain
3 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 89%
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 88%
Buriram United
1 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panetolikos or draw 85%
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Panetolikos Clean Sheet 56%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 85%
Leganes
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 15%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 85%
Southampton
0 : 3 FT
Aston Villa
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 85%
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 84%
Dukla Praha
1 : 2 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 16%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Baník Ostrava Clean Sheet 53%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 84%
Monaco
3 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Championship Β· England Portsmouth or draw 84%
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 83%
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Premier League Β· England Nottingham Forest or draw 83%
Nottingham Forest
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 55%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Juventude or draw 83%
Juventude
2 : 1 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 83%
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
#16 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 83%
Brighton
2 : 2 FT
Leicester
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 83%
Bayern München
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 82%
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 82%
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 81%
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Ain vs Al Urooba (Al Ain or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.