Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 6 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 April 2025. Ajax vs NAC Breda (Ajax or draw) led the list at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 20 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 92%
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 91%
SV Elversberg
6 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 89%
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 85%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 85%
Valladolid
0 : 4 FT
Getafe
Win 15%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Getafe Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 83%
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Dinamo Makhachkala or draw 83%
Dinamo Makhachkala
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 83%
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 82%
Plzen
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 82%
Internacional
3 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 81%
Seraing United
0 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 81%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 81%
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 80%
Catanzaro
3 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#15 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 80%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 80%
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 80%
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 79%
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 79%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Le Havre or draw 79%
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 21%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 6 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs NAC Breda (Ajax or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.