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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 2 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 2 April 2025. Southampton vs Crystal Palace (Crystal Palace or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 94%
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 6%
Draw 14%
Win 80%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 58% Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 90%
Manchester City
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 88%
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%
Feyenoord
4 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 82%
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 81%
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 80%
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 80%
Brighton
0 : 3 FT
Aston Villa
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#9 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 79%
Bournemouth
1 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#10 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 79%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#11 League Two Β· England Notts County or draw 77%
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 75%
Khon Kaen United
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 2 April 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Crystal Palace (Crystal Palace or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.