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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 30 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 March 2025. Barcelona vs Girona (Barcelona or draw) led the list at 90% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 90%
Barcelona
4 : 1 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Huachipato or draw 89%
Huachipato
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 88%
Bangkok United
5 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 87%
Athletic Club
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 86%
SC Freiburg
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 86%
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 83%
Rapid Vienna
0 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 83%
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Auxerre or draw 83%
Auxerre
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panserraikos or draw 83%
Panserraikos
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 82%
FC Krasnodar
5 : 0 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 81%
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Gent
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Karpaty or draw 81%
Karpaty
4 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 81%
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Halmstad or draw 81%
Halmstad
0 : 5 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 80%
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 80%
Famalicao
4 : 1 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 71% Famalicao Clean Sheet 56%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 80%
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Cesena or draw 78%
Cesena
1 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 78%
IFK Norrkoping
4 : 3 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Girona (Barcelona or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.