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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 7 December 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 December 2024. FK Jablonec vs Dukla Praha (FK Jablonec or draw) led the list at 97% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 97%
FK Jablonec
2 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 87%
Draw 11%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS No 60% FK Jablonec Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 97%
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 14%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 58% Genk Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 93%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 92%
Gent
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 91%
Bayern München
4 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 90%
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 89%
Leeds
2 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 88%
Göztepe
3 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 88%
Waalwijk
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 12%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 88%
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 87%
Zenit
1 : 2 FT
Akron
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%
Holstein Kiel
0 : 2 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RAAL La Louvière or draw 86%
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 86%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 86%
GIL Vicente
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 64% GIL Vicente Clean Sheet 54%
#16 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 86%
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 85%
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 85%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 84%
Al Wahda FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege or draw 83%
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FK Jablonec vs Dukla Praha (FK Jablonec or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.