Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 18 October 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 18 October 2024. Alaves vs Valladolid (Alaves or draw) sits top on 90% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga · Spain
Alaves or draw
90%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht or draw
87%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua or draw
86%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
85%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
84%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
83%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch or draw
81%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
79%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC or draw
78%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
78%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United or draw
77%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln or draw
76%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 18 October 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Alaves vs Valladolid (Alaves or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.