Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Monday 21 October 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Nine matches cleared our threshold on Monday 21 October 2024. Ruh Lviv vs Karpaty (Ruh Lviv or draw) led the list at 87% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia or draw
85%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK or draw
78%
Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg or draw
77%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom or draw
76%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
75%
Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 21 October 2024?
nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Ruh Lviv vs Karpaty (Ruh Lviv or draw) at 87% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.