Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 3 August 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 3 August 2024. Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon (Hangzhou Greentown or draw) sits top on 89% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown or draw
89%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City or draw
88%
Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF or draw
85%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
84%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
80%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
79%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96 or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen or draw
77%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR or draw
77%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica or draw
76%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
75%
Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 August 2024?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon (Hangzhou Greentown or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.