Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 28 July 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 July 2024. Botafogo vs Cruzeiro (Botafogo or draw) led the list at 88% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo or draw
88%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
87%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
84%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC or draw
81%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS or draw
81%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka or draw
80%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage or draw
79%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
79%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
78%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC or draw
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
78%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers or draw
77%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio or draw
76%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso or draw
76%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
76%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg or draw
75%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 July 2024?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Cruzeiro (Botafogo or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.