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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 10 March 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 10 March 2024. Benfica vs Estoril (Benfica or draw) led the list at 94% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 91%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 90%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 84%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#10

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 84%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%

#11

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Vienna or draw 84%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Kayserispor or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

#13

Serie B · Italy Venezia or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic České Budějovice or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#16

Premier League · Russia FC Orenburg or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#17

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#19

2. Bundesliga · Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 81%

#20

Serie B · Italy Palermo or draw 81%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 10 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Estoril (Benfica or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.