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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 3 March 2024

Thu 29 Fri 1 Sat 2 Sun 3 Mon 4 Tue 5 Wed 6

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 March 2024. Sporting CP vs Farense (Sporting CP or draw) led the list at 95% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 95%

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 92%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 91%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 88%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 85%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%

Super League · China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 85%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#12

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 84%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 84%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%

#15

Super League · Switzerland FC Winterthur or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#16

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 83%

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

Serie B · Italy Bari or draw 81%

#19

Premier League · Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Farense (Sporting CP or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.