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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 26 August 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 26 August 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 92% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 92%
AEK Athens FC
1 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
BTTS No 60% AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 89%
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 86%
Trabzonspor
2 : 3 FT
Rizespor
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 86%
Baník Ostrava
2 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Puszcza Niepołomice or draw 86%
Puszcza Niepołomice
2 : 1 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 68% Puszcza Niepołomice Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 86%
Sturm Graz
4 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca or draw 84%
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 84%
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia or draw 84%
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Como or draw 84%
Como
2 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 83%
Bastia
3 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 82%
Flamengo
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 82%
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
#14 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 82%
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 82%
Modena
1 : 0 FT
Ascoli
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 81%
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 81%
Lincoln
3 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 81%
HFX Wanderers FC
3 : 0 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 81%
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 81%
Newport County
3 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 26 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.