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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 27 August 2023

Thu 24 Fri 25 Sat 26 Sun 27 Mon 28 Tue 29 Wed 30

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 27 August 2023. PAOK vs Kifisia (PAOK or draw) led the list at 96% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% PAOK Clean Sheet 61%

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 93%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Botafogo Clean Sheet 66%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 87%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%

#10

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 85%

#11

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 83%

#14

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RSC Anderlecht II or draw 83%

Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%

#15

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 83%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 82%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 82%

#18

Eliteserien · Norway Sandefjord or draw 81%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Kifisia (PAOK or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.