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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 25 August 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Friday 25 August 2023. Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) sits top on 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 88%
Henan Jianye
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland VPS or draw 85%
VPS
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 85%
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 82%
UCD
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 80%
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 80%
Roda
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 80%
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 79%
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 79%
Konyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 79%
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 79%
Al-Fayha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 78%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 78%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panetolikos or draw 77%
Panetolikos
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 76%
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 75%
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 25 August 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.