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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 16 May 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Tuesday 16 May 2023. Aalesund vs Molde (Molde or draw) sits top on 84% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%

Eliteserien · Norway Brann or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 79%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 78%

Süper Lig · Turkey Sivasspor or draw 78%

Eliteserien · Norway Viking or draw 78%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 78%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 77%

#10

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Orebro SK or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 16 May 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Aalesund vs Molde (Molde or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.