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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 May 2023

Thu 11 Fri 12 Sat 13 Sun 14 Mon 15 Tue 16 Wed 17

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 14 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 95% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 95%

Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 95%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 94%

BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 62%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 89%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 89%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% FC Porto Clean Sheet 54%

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 86%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%

#11

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 86%

#12

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#14

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 85%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 85%

#17

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 84%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

#20

Allsvenskan · Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.