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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 10 April 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 10 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 93%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 91%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 League One Β· England Portsmouth or draw 91%
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Morecambe
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 89%
West Brom
2 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% West Brom Clean Sheet 59%
#5 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 88%
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 88%
Barcelona
0 : 0 FT
Girona
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
#7 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 88%
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 56%
#8 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 87%
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 54%
#9 Championship Β· England Luton or draw 87%
Luton
3 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 85%
Palermo
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 84%
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 84%
Barrow
4 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 82%
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 71% Northampton Clean Sheet 57%
#14 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 82%
Plymouth
0 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 League Two Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 82%
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#16 Championship Β· England Preston or draw 81%
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#17 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 81%
Charlton
3 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 81%
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 80%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 80%
Miedz Legnica
2 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 10 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.