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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 8 April 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 8 April 2023. PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior (PSV Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 98% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 98% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 98%

✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 58%

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 91%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 57%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 90%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 59%

Premier League · England Aston Villa or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 86%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany FC Augsburg or draw 84%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

#11

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 84%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 84%

#14

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 83%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 83%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 83%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 83%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Police Tero or draw 82%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#19

Ligue 2 · France Metz or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

#20

Premier League · England Leicester or draw 81%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 8 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 98% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.