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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 10 December 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 December 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Beijing Guoan (Beijing Guoan or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 93%
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 4 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 7%
Draw 11%
βœ“ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 87%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League Two Β· England Stevenage or draw 85%
Stevenage
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 83%
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 82%
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Championship Β· England Millwall or draw 81%
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 78%
Sutton Utd
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 77%
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 77%
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#10 League One Β· England Cheltenham or draw 76%
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 League One Β· England Fleetwood Town or draw 76%
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 76%
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#13 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 76%
Grimsby
2 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#14 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 76%
Blackburn
1 : 4 FT
Preston
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 10 December 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Beijing Guoan (Beijing Guoan or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.