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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 13 September 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Tuesday 13 September 2022. Charlton vs Forest Green (Charlton or draw) sits top on 88% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Charlton or draw 88%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 87%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Ipswich or draw 84%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

League Two · England Grimsby or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Grimsby Clean Sheet 56%

League One · England Plymouth or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 81%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 80%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 80%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

#10

K League 1 · South-Korea Jeju United FC or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#11

League One · England Wycombe or draw 78%

#12

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 78%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#13

League Two · England Walsall or draw 77%

#14

Superettan · Sweden Halmstad or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

League One · England Lincoln or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#17

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 76%

#18

League One · England Barnsley or draw 75%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 13 September 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Charlton vs Forest Green (Charlton or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.