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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 15 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Thursday 15 September 2022. Al-Wasl FC vs Dibba Al-Fujairah (Al-Wasl FC or draw) sits top on 82% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 82%
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 53%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 81%
Palestino
1 : 2 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 77%
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 76%
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 76%
Al Baten
0 : 4 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 15 September 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Wasl FC vs Dibba Al-Fujairah (Al-Wasl FC or draw) at 82% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.