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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 May 2022

Wed 18 Thu 19 Fri 20 Sat 21 Sun 22 Mon 23 Tue 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 May 2022. Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) led the list at 92% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 92%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 90%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 59%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 84%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Süper Lig · Turkey Kasımpaşa or draw 83%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%

Ligue 1 · France Nantes or draw 83%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%

#11

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#12

Serie A · Brazil Santos or draw 82%

#13

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#14

K League 1 · South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 80%

#15

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 79%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Premier League · Russia FC Sochi or draw 79%

#18

Veikkausliiga · Finland SJK or draw 79%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Primera División · Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 78%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Yeni Malatyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.