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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 8 January 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 8 January 2022. Al Shabab vs Abha (Al Shabab or draw) sits top on 88% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 88%
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% Al Shabab Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 85%
Estoril
2 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 83%
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 82%
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 18%
Draw 34%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67% Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 82%
Tranmere
4 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 81%
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 81%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 3 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 80%
Gaziantep FK
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 League One Β· England Oxford United or draw 79%
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman or draw 79%
Ajman
0 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 79%
Gillingham
0 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 78%
Newport County
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 78%
RB Leipzig
4 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 77%
Stevenage
3 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#15 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 77%
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 77%
Sharjah FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Ain
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 76%
Qingdao Huanghai
0 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 76%
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 75%
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 8 January 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Shabab vs Abha (Al Shabab or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.