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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 11 January 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 47 fixtures on Saturday 11 January 2025. 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg sits top on 82% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 3 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 5 FT
Muangthong United
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
League One · England
Rotherham
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Walsall
5 : 1 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
4 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Bastia Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 0 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
0 : 5 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 14%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 3 FT
Lecce
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 24%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 56%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 1–2 · 7%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 18%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Bodrum FK
✓ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
2 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 4 FT
Nice
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
2 : 1 FT
Liège
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 11 January 2025?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.