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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 8 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

42 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 8 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Cambuur vs De Graafschap at 78% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 0 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 66%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 2 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 3 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
6 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 15%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 58% Galatasaray Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
4 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 37%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
3 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 8 March 2024?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs De Graafschap at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.