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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 16 February 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 33 fixtures on Friday 16 February 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles led the list at 73% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 4 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 1 FT
Al Taee
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 2 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
BTTS No 58% Roda Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 20%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
West Brom
0 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Nice
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
4 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 16 February 2024?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.