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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 10 November 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

31 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 10 November 2023. NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax led the list at 82% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
3 : 2 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 2 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 4 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 2 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 4 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
2 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
4 : 3 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 10 November 2023?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.