Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 30 December 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 32 fixtures on Friday 30 December 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Henan Jianye sits top on 74% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 4 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 6%
Draw 12%
✓ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 74%
Model Score 0–3 · 10%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
0 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
2 : 1 FT
Sochaux
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
0 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Almeria
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
3 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
West Ham
0 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Birmingham
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Swansea
4 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 29%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Stevenage
3 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
0 : 0 FT
Nimes
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 3 FT
Amiens
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Dijon
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort
2 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 73% ✓ Bastia Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 2 FT
Quevilly
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 30 December 2022?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Henan Jianye at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.