Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 17 July 2022

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The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 36 fixtures on Sunday 17 July 2022. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga led the list at 73% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Primera División · Chile

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Eintracht Braunschweig

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 11%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · Switzerland

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Super League · Switzerland

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eliteserien · Norway

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eliteserien · Norway

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eliteserien · Norway

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Eliteserien · Norway

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · Russia

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Premier League · Russia

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 2–0 · 13%

Eliteserien · Norway

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Serie A · Brazil

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Serie A · Brazil

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Serie A · Brazil

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 July 2022?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.