Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 20 July 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Wednesday 20 July 2022. RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC led the list at 55% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
1 : 0 FT
Avai
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
0 : 1 FT
York United
Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 68% Cavalry FC Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
2 : 3 FT
Fluminense
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
4 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 5 of 5 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 20 July 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Bragantino vs Fortaleza EC at 55% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.