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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 16 July 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 35 fixtures on Saturday 16 July 2022. Suwon City FC vs Gangwon FC led the list at 76% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

2. Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
2 : 4 FT
Pacific FC
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
3 : 2 FT
Seongnam FC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 4 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Ural
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Superettan · Sweden
Dalkurd FF
0 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
1 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
3 : 1 FT
VPS
Win 22%
Draw 19%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 4 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 13%
Draw 24%
Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
5 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
5 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
✓ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Avai
1 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 16 July 2022?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Suwon City FC vs Gangwon FC at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.