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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 9 January 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

36 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Empoli vs Sassuolo at 80% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
0 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 17%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
1 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
4 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Altay
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 5 FT
Sassuolo
Win 27%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
3 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
Maritimo
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 6 FT
Atalanta
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 34%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 0 FT
Monaco
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 4 FT
Juventus
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 18%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
✓ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 9 January 2022?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs Sassuolo at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.