Clermont Foot 0-0 Reims – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Reims at 39%, yet other data sources diverge — this Clermont Foot vs Reims fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Reims make the trip to Stade Gabriel Montpied to face Clermont Foot in Ligue 1, Regular Season - 20. The match kicks off on Sunday 9 January 2022 at 14:00 UTC.
Current Form
Clermont Foot's overall Ligue 1 record this term: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games (0.80 PPG). Last five: L L D L W. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Clermont Foot, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Clermont Foot have posted 2W 3D 3L at Stade Gabriel Montpied — 1.12 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 62% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Reims have collected 1.30 PPG across 10 Ligue 1 outings this season: 3W 4D 3L. Last five: W W L W D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Reims, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Reims away from home this season: 2W 5D 3L from 10 away games — 1.10 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Reims are 0.50 PPG clear of Clermont Foot in recent Ligue 1 fixtures (1.30 vs 0.80). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — Clermont Foot have seen both teams score in 62% of their games, Reims in 70%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H History
Form and model data should carry more weight here — the historical record is too balanced to provide a directional steer. From 1 meetings: Clermont Foot 0W, Reims 1W, 0D.
Historically, goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 1.0 per game from 1 meetings. The Under 2.5 has a clear base rate from the H2H record alone. The most recent clash, on 28 Nov 2021, ended 0–1 with Reims winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading
Clermont Foot half-time and goal-timing data (18 games, 8 at home): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
Reims half-time and goal-timing data (18 games, 8 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 38% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Clermont Foot 50% versus Reims 61%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Clermont Foot 50% | Reims 39%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Clermont Foot 1.15 xG and Reims 1.28 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Clermont Foot attack 0.912 / defence 1.213 | Reims attack 0.820 / defence 1.106. League average goals — home 1.138 / away 1.285. Data: 18 Clermont Foot games / 19 Reims games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 29% | Reims 39%. Fair-value odds: Clermont Foot 3.12 | Draw 3.45 | Reims 2.56. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 44% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.43. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 56% — total xG of 2.43 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Reims are the pick at 39% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 29% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Reims if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.43 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 44% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Clermont Foot 62% | Reims 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Clermont Foot vs Reims | Competition: Ligue 1, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Stade Gabriel Montpied • Kick-off: Sunday 9 Jan 2022, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 29% | Reims 39% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 44% | BTTS 50% | xG Clermont Foot 1.15 / Reims 1.28 • Poisson strength factors: Clermont Foot attack 0.912 / def 1.213 | Reims attack 0.820 / def 1.106 | league avg home 1.138 / away 1.285 • Poisson stance: Reims (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.15
Clermont Foot xG
Expected Goals
1.28
Reims xG
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Clermont Foot vs Reims kick off?
Clermont Foot vs Reims kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 9 January 2022 at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What was the final score in Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Clermont Foot 0 - 0 Reims.
Where is Clermont Foot vs Reims being played?
The match is being played at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What competition is Clermont Foot vs Reims part of?
Clermont Foot vs Reims is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Ligue 1 (France).
Who is favourite to win Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our statistical model gives Clermont Foot a 32% chance of winning, Reims a 39% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Reims the favourite.
Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Clermont Foot and Reims will score (BTTS).
Will Clermont Foot vs Reims have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 44%.
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Reims?
Record (1 meetings): Clermont Foot 0W | Draws 0 | Reims 1W.
What form are Clermont Foot and Reims in?
Clermont Foot (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-L-D-L-W. Reims (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-L-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Clermont Foot's attacking strength (0.91x league average) is weighed against Reims's defensive record (1.11x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.15. Flip it around — Reims's attack (0.82x) against Clermont Foot's defence (1.21x) — and the away total comes out at 1.28.
These ratings are built from 18/19 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.7%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.5%), 0-1 (9.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Reims Win
32%
3.11
29%
3.41
39%
2.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Clermont Foot xG
Total xG
2.43
1.28
Reims xG
3.11
32%
Home win
3.41
29%
Draw
2.60
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
28%
3.59
32%
3.15
Win to Nil
9%
11.18
12%
8.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.7%.
How many goals are Clermont Foot and Reims expected to score?
The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Clermont Foot and 1.28 for Reims, a combined total of 2.43.
How confident is the prediction model for Clermont Foot vs Reims?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 18 outings, Clermont Foot have picked up 0.94 PPG on a 4W 5D 9L record — L-L-D-L-W across the most recent five. The sample for Clermont Foot is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Reims's form line: 5W 7D 6L from 18 games, 1.22 PPG, last five W-W-L-W-D. The sample for Reims is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.94 PPG for Clermont Foot against 1.22 for Reims. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Clermont Foot have posted 1.12 PPG from 8 outings (2W 3D 3L).
On the road, Reims have gone 2W 3D 3L from 8 away games — 1.12 PPG when travelling.
Attack vs Defence
Clermont Foot are averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game recently; Reims are on 1.22 scored and 1.22 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Reims in 61%.
Last 18 Results — Ligue 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Clermont Foot
Blended
Reims
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Clermont Foot and Reims in coming into this match?
Clermont Foot have gone 4W 5D 9L in their last 18 games (0.94 PPG), while Reims have gone 5W 7D 6L in their last 18 (1.22 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Clermont Foot at home or Reims away?
Clermont Foot's home record (1.12 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Clermont Foot at home: 1.12 PPG; Reims away: 1.12 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 8 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. The pairing has crossed competitions too — Ligue 1, Ligue 2 all feature in the head-to-head log. They last met on 30 January 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Reims have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Clermont Foot won 4-1 on 28 Apr 2024, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Clermont Foot have gone 2W 1D 1L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Reims — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
3
Clermont Foot
1
Draws
4
Reims
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Reims?
From 8 meetings on record, Clermont Foot have won 3, Reims have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Clermont Foot and Reims last play each other?
They last met on 30 January 2026, when Clermont Foot 0-1 Reims.
Who has won more matches between Clermont Foot and Reims?
Reims have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Clermont Foot are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Reims are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 38% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 62% for Clermont Foot, 75% for Reims — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Clermont Foot) and 38% (Reims).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Clermont Foot home games / Reims away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Clermont Foot play Reims?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 62% of Clermont Foot's games and 75% of Reims's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Clermont Foot vs Reims usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Clermont Foot's recent games and 38% of Reims's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Clermont Foot and Reims tend to score early?
Clermont Foot have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Reims in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Clermont Foot's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Regular Season - 20, as Clermont Foot and Reims drew 0-0 in the Ligue 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Clermont Foot 1.15 xG and Reims 1.28 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Clermont Foot fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Reims landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Clermont Foot attack 0.91 / defence 1.21 against Reims attack 0.82 / defence 1.11, drawn from 18/19 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Clermont Foot 32% | Draw 29% | Reims 39%, with Reims to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Clermont Foot 50%, Reims 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Clermont Foot's trading profile (18 games, 8 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Reims's trading profile (18 games, 8 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Clermont Foot 0.94 PPG, Reims 1.22 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Clermont Foot (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.25 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line. Reims (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.25 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.