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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 22 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Thursday 22 May 2025. Kalmar FF vs Umeå FC sits top on 50% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Superettan supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
✓ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#3 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 0 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Kallithea
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#6 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
3 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
4 : 2 FT
Landskrona BoIS
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 4 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
3 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 22%
Draw 19%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 22 May 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kalmar FF vs Umeå FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.