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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 9 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 9 May 2025. Sampdoria vs Salernitana sits top on 61% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 44%
Draw 39%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ Sampdoria Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Mantova
2 : 1 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
3 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
Bologna
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 0 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Cesena
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#16 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
#19 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 9 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sampdoria vs Salernitana at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.