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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 10 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 10 May 2025. Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu sits top on 61% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 15%
Draw 25%
Win 61%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Strasbourg Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
2 : 1 FT
Umeå FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
5 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 7%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 79%
Over 2.5 67%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 0 FT
Manchester City
Win 10%
Draw 17%
Win 72%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Lorient
5 : 1 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 3 FT
Volos NFC
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
4 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
2 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 4 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 8%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 10 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.