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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 5 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 5 May 2025. Nublense vs Union La Calera sits top on 55% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 72% Nublense Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 2 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 3 FT
Al Urooba
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
1 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
2 : 3 FT
Levadiakos
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Kallithea
0 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
#15 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 2 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Gais
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 1 FT
GKS Katowice
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#20 Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 5 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nublense vs Union La Calera at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.