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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 22 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 February 2025. Notts County vs Tranmere sits top on 58% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Notts County
2 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 63% Notts County Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#6 League One Β· England
Charlton
3 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League One Β· England
Wycombe
0 : 0 FT
Wigan
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 56%
Draw 31%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#11 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Carrarese
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#15 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
2 : 2 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Tranmere at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.