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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 21 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 21 February 2025. Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday led the list at 50% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
2 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 4 FT
Brentford
Win 16%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 3 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#20 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 21 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Sheffield Wednesday at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.