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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 15 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Wednesday 15 January 2025. Buriram United vs Chiangrai United sits top on 55% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 17%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Thai League 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
8 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
5 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Tottenham
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 37%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
3 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
4 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 15 January 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Chiangrai United at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.