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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 17 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 17 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Sunderland at 46% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 36%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Cesena
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
3 : 1 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 11%
Draw 19%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Caen
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 3 FT
PAU
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 0 FT
Al Orubah
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
4 : 1 FT
Lokeren-Temse
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 17 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Sunderland at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.