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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 12 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 January 2025. Groningen vs Almere City FC led the list at 56% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Groningen Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 0 FT
Kallithea
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 12%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 65%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 81%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 7%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 78%
Over 2.5 67%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
2 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 4 FT
Heerenveen
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
6 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
0 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Modena
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Atromitos
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
2 : 2 FT
Mantova
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Groningen vs Almere City FC at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.