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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 21 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 December 2024. Leeds vs Oxford United led the list at 61% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Leeds Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
3 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 2 FT
Farense
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
3 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 66%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#6 Championship Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#9 Championship Β· England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#10 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#11 Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 25%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#12 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#13 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#15 League One Β· England
Northampton
0 : 5 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 League One Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 League Two Β· England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Bradford
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
0 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Oxford United at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.