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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 13 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to PAU vs Ajaccio at 55% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAU Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
✓ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Livyi Bereh
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
4 : 0 FT
Martigues
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 0 FT
Bari
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
2 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Championship · England
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 13 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAU vs Ajaccio at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.