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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 30 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 30 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Osters IF vs Utsikten at 44% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
5 : 2 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
0 : 0 FT
Farense
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
3 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
0 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 1 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 3 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 3 FT
Cagliari
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 34%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 30 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs Utsikten at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.