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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 17 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 August 2024. Hradec Králové vs Dukla Praha led the list at 50% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 37%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Teplice
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 20%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#4 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
0 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#7 League One · England
Blackpool
0 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 4 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 3 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
4 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#14 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#15 Championship · England
Bristol City
4 : 3 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#17 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#18 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#19 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hradec Králové vs Dukla Praha at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.